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Donald Trump’s chance of victory in next week’s presidential election appeared to narrow as polls showed him losing ground in several swing states where coronavirus cases are surging.

Mr Trump will continue his tour of battleground states on Thursday, visiting Florida and North Carolina before returning to Wisconsin and Minnesota on Friday. But his prospects in Midwest states that propelled him to victory in 2016 have taken a blow as a third surge of Covid-19 focuses attention on his pandemic management.

A Financial Times analysis shows Joe Biden has an average polling lead of 4.3 points in swing states where cases have risen more than 7 per cent in the past week, compared with a 1.4 point lead where the rise in cases is 6 per cent or less.

US media companies, which play an unusually large role in elections compared with other democracies, are preparing for possible delays to the result. The Supreme Court allowed late mail-in ballots to be counted in North Carolina and Pennsylvania.

The author of an anonymous September 2018 column alleging a secret “resistance” inside the Trump administration has identified himself. (FT, NBC, NYT, AP)

Line chart showing how Trump and Biden are doing in the US national polls

Joe Biden leads average nationwide polling by 8.6 percentage points, according to an FT analysis of Real Clear Politics data.

Coronavirus digest

Australia’s compliance culture has been crucial to its success in suppressing the virus, Jamie Smyth writes. Follow our live coverage here.

Column chart of Stoxx Europe 600 index showing Worst day for European stocks in five weeks

In the news

Exclusive: US loosens Huawei curbs The US is allowing chip companies to supply Huawei with non-5G components, people briefed by Washington said. US authorities also charged eight people with allegedly conducting an illegal Chinese operation on American soil to intimidate and kidnap those Beijing viewed as dissidents. (FT)

Exclusive: Tiffany-LVMH deal Tiffany’s board has approved a sale to LVMH at the slightly reduced price that values the US jeweller’s equity at about $15.8bn, ending a bitter legal conflict that threatened to derail the luxury sector’s biggest-ever acquisition. (FT)

Tech CEOs face Senate scolding The chief executives of Twitter, Facebook and Google faced a blaze of bipartisan criticism over content moderation at a bruising hearing on Wednesday. Here’s a closer look at Twitter boss Jack Dorsey’s hands-off management. Separately, an internal Google document reveals an aggressive campaign against EU regulators. (FT, WSJ)

Jack Dorsey, Twitter chief executive, appeared by video in front of the Senate commerce committee © AP

Most Britons unclear on Brexit Two-thirds of Britons are confused about how the UK’s relationship with the EU will change, including travel within Europe, according to YouGov polling. The UK will face a legal challenge over its refusal to launch an independent inquiry into possible Russian election interference. (FT)

WTO leadership fight The US has rejected Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Nigeria’s frontrunner to head the World Trade Organization, defying the body’s other 160 members and leaving the outcome uncertain. The process requires a consensus rather than a formal vote. (FT)

UK migrant outcry The UK faced calls to reopen refugee resettlement schemes as authorities in northern France continued the search for further migrants who drowned when a boat carrying up to 20 Iranians capsized on Tuesday, leaving two adults and two children dead. (FT)

Survivors of the incident, the most deadly in over a year, indicated a baby remained missing © AFP via Getty Images

Auditors abjure KPMG, Deloitte and challenger firm BDO declined to audit SoftBank-backed Greensill Capital, forcing the controversial financing company to turn to the relatively obscure Saffery Champness. Moody’s downgraded EG Group, the highly leveraged petrol stations company whose owners are buying Asda, over governance issues that prompted its auditor to resign. (FT)

Earnings round-up Standard Chartered will consider resuming dividends after reporting a better than expected underlying pre-tax profit. Ford beat expectations after focusing on pick-ups and SUVs over sedans, while Samsung warned of weaker earnings ahead on lower chip prices and competition from Apple’s 5G iPhone. (FT)

The day ahead

Tech earnings Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Facebook, Spotify and Shopify all report September quarter earnings on Thursday, with Big Tech businesses marching on during the pandemic despite growing antitrust scrutiny. In the financials sector, Credit Suisse and Lloyds report. (FT)

Investors in Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Alphabet will be looking for signs that suggest a permanent shift rather than a short-term boost from the pandemic © FT montage; Getty Images

ECB meets The European Central Bank is expected to keep its cards covered and rates on hold, with analysts forecasting more stimulus in December as the bloc faces deflation, renewed Covid-19 outbreaks, a looming recession, delayed recovery fund talks and Brexit uncertainty. (FT)

US GDP Donald Trump will look to capitalise on gross domestic product figures out on Thursday that are expected to show a quarter-on-quarter rebound of 7 per cent. Analysts will also be watching initial jobless claims. (FT)

What else we’re reading

The next pandemic Hunting for new viruses has become more difficult during the pandemic, but it has never been more important. Like most other novel human viruses, Sars-Cov-2 is zoonotic: it crossed from animals into humans. As deforestation and climate change increase disease spread, virus-hunters race to identify — and prevent — the next pandemic. (FT)

Map showing where novel infectious diseases are most likely to emerge

Working with long Covid-19 Most Covid-19 patients recover within two weeks. But some with so-called “Long Covid” experience symptoms for months, presenting a challenge for both employers and staff. Emma Jacobs speaks to some of them. (FT)

Marcus Rashford’s lesson in politics The England footballer’s campaign harnesses a powerful demand for fairness, Philip Stephens writes — even for many of Boris Johnson’s own MPs, it seems blindingly obvious that, whatever the costs, poor children should not be going hungry. (FT)

Against the hundreds of billions of pounds spent to soften the economic blow of the pandemic, the addition sought by Mr Rashford — counted in tens of millions — is trivial © Ingram Pinn/Financial Times Rashford

Business breaks with Trump Business leaders are now more worried about democracy than their tax bills or the president’s tweets, Andrew Edgecliffe-Johnson writes. If Donald Trump is defeated, his supporters and opponents will need new identities, Simon Kuper says. Do unhappy elites lead to political instability? (FT, Economist)

Can Democrats deliver Bidenomics? Joe Biden would embark on a programme of high spending and tax rises to shore up America’s economic recovery. But implementing it will not be simple. Jemima Kelly writes that the media needs to be more honest in how it reports on Mr Biden. (FT)

Line chart of Real GDP, in 2012 prices ($bn) showing Biden's policies expected to create a bigger boost for the US economy

To contain Covid-19, co-operate Masks, outdoor dining, school closures — we must pay attention to which local rules work best if we are all to beat the pandemic, Gillian Tett writes. One exemplar: Taiwan, which has gone 200 days without a locally transmitted case. (FT, Bloomberg)

Sacha Baron Cohen is serious Over the past two decades, British satirist, writer, producer and actor Sacha Baron Cohen has made an unforgettable impact. The popular provocateur discusses bringing back Borat in the Trump era, and its more pressing political purpose. (FT)

‘The sequel is first and foremost a warning about the dangerous slide towards autocracy as we’re incrementally moving away from this wonderful ideal of American democracy’ © Buck Ellison/eyevine

Podcast of the day

Who’s afraid of Ai Weiwei? After a summer of protest, Culture Call hosted one of the most influential artists and activists of our time to discuss how to protest creatively and powerfully (“you only see your power from your enemy’s eye”) and the symbolic meaning of the pandemic. (FT)

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